Yankees Sweep the Red Sox

When Boston's 4 game series with the New York Yankees started, the Red Sox were 2.5 games out of first place in the A.L. East and had a 3 game lead in the Wild Card standings. Now four days (and four embarrassing losses) later Boston is now 6.5 games back in the East, and tied for Wild Card with the Texas Rangers. In the 4 game series the Red Sox were out scored 25-8, which included being shutout both Friday and Saturday night.

The Red Sox came in to this series as a team that was on the rise. They have won two of the last five World Series, and were one game away from returning last season. They were a team that had a balanced offense, a solid defense, and the deepest pitching staff in baseball. And they had just added two more bats at the trade deadline, in 1B Casey Kotchman and All-star C/1B Victor Martinez. They left New York with an inept offense and a pitching staff that couldn't shut down the Yankees bats. The Red Sox's pitching performances were so bad, that Boston was forced to cut ties with future Hall of Famer John Smoltz. Now they are on a 6 game losing streak and are in danger of missing the playoffs completely.

Boston shouldn't be counted out of the playoff hunt yet, but they do have their work cut out for them. They begin a 7 game stretch against the Detroit Tigers and the Texas Rangers. And have only 13 more games against teams with a below .500 record (not counting the Blue Jays who are a playoff caliber team stuck in the best division in baseball). Boston will need to make some roster changes down the stretch if they want to return to the postseason. They may be able to bring up a couple guys from their system, but don't be surprised to see the Red Sox make a couple waiver wire deals to add major league talent. The Red Sox will have 6 more games this season to redeem themselves against the Yankees. But the roster and attitude in Beantown will need to change to take down the surging Bronx Bombers.

AL East: New York Yankees

Prediction: New York Yankees: 3rd place finish

Strengths: The Yankees have a strong veteran lineup that will produce a ton of runs. When healthy Alex Rodriguez and newly signed first baseman Mark Tiexera will form probably the best 3-4 combination in baseball. Shortstop Derek Jeter and left fielder Johnny Damon offer a little speed and great on-base ability at the top of the order. With the free agent additions of CC Sabathia and A.J. Burnett to go along with holdovers Chien-Ming Wang, Joba Chamberlain and Andy Pettite the Yankees have one of the top rotations in the league. Mariano Rivera is the best closer in baseball and gives New York a huge luxury when the 9th inning comes along.

Weaknesses: Injuries and age are the two biggest problems facing the Yankees this season. Rodriguez will miss the first 4-6 weeks due to a hip injury. Two other big bats catcher Jorge Posada and designated hitter Hideki Matsui are coming off major injuries and will need to stay healthy for this lineup to be productive. Matsui, Posada, Pettite, Damon and Jeter are all going to be 35 years or older this season and will likely see their numbers decline to some degree. The Yankees defense is another problem area. Other than Tiexera the Yankees defensive alignment is made up of mostly average fielders.

Farm Aid: The Yankees farm system isn't as talented as their AL East counterparts but is still fairly solid. Pitching is the area that their farm system will bolster the most this season. Lefthander Phil Coke will be a long reliever in the Yankees bullpen this season and will likely be joined at some point by Alfredo Aceves and David Robertson. Starter Phil Hughes will be the first pitcher called upon if any of the Yankees top five go down with an injury. Given that the Yankees will be in the playoff hunt all season the Yankees may turn to their farm system to help them make a trade.

Outlook: The Yankees reloaded this off season but they are still in the toughest division in baseball. I think the Rodriguez injury will cost them some wins in April that could leave New York out of the playoff picture.

AL East: Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays: 2nd place finish

Strengths: Tampa Bay is one of the most talented young teams top to bottom in baseball. Their lineup features the perfect combination of power and speed. Last year's Rookie of the Year Evan Longoria is one of the best players in baseball and headlines the middle of the Rays batting order. Longoria is joined in the middle by first baseman Carlos Pena and designated hitter Pat Burrell each capable of hitting 30 plus home runs a year. Center fielder B.J. Upton and left fielder Carl Crawford provide the speed at the top of the lineup. Tampa's starting rotation is another strength of this team, they have three young starters (Scott Kazmir, James Shields, and Matt Garza) that all have the ability to anchor a rotation. With as good as their lineup and pitching rotation are the Rays best attribute is their defense. At every position the Rays start a quality defender. They have great speed and range in the outfield and probably the best left side of the infield in the AL.

Weaknesses: Though the Rays are one of the better teams in baseball they are not without their flaws. While they have a quality bullpen from top to bottom, the Rays lack the shutdown closer that their division rivals possess. Another area of concern for the Rays is their 5th starter. Rookie sensation David Price was expected to take the job but he is starting the year in the minors, leaving the 5th spot for Jeff Niemann. Niemann a former first round draft pick has a ton of potential but hasn't yet shown he's a major league starter. He'll need to give the Rays some quality starts while Price is in the minors for the first month or two of the season.

Farm Aid: Price is the best pitching prospect in the the game and will likely be up with the Rays sometime in May. Price will join the big three at the top of the rotation to form possibly the best group of starters in baseball. Beyond Price Tampa has one of the deepest systems in baseball and has quality prospects at every level. Pitcher Wade Davis, shortstop Reid Brignac and outfielder Fernando Perez should all be up with the big league club at some point this season.

Outlook: The Rays won't be making any return trips to the AL East basement anytime soon. Tampa will be in the hunt for their 2nd division title all season. Though they may come up short in the division they should be the favorite to win the Wild Card.

American League Predictions

With the baseball season already starting I wanted to post my predictions for each division as well as the MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the year. I'll keep posting the team by team previews throughout the week.

American League:

AL East:
1. Boston Red Sox
2. Tampa Bay Rays
3. New York Yankees
4. Toronto Blue Jays
5. Baltimore Orioles

AL Central:
1. Minnesota Twins
2. Cleveland Indians
3. Chicago White Sox
4. Kansas City Royals
5. Detroit Tigers

AL West:
1. Los Angeles Angels
2. Oakland Athletics
3. Texas Rangers
4. Seattle Mariners

MVP: Grady Sizemore. Sizemore is one of the best young players in this league. He does everything for the Indians and should make a strong MVP bid as he helps the Tribe battle for the Central division. Dark Horse: B.J. Upton. Upton had a great postseason last year and should look to build on that performance. This could be the year that he takes his game to the elite level the Rays knew he could when they drafted him second overall in 2002.

Cy Young: Roy Halladay. Halladay is such a talented pitcher but is often overlooked since he plays for the Blue Jays. His numbers are even more impressive because he has to deal with the talented Yankees and Red Sox lineups more than most pitchers. Dark Horse: Felix Hernandez. While it seems like he's been around forever Hernandez is just 23 years old and has his best years in front of him. He won't get much support on the Mariners but has the stuff to be among the best in the game.

ROY: Matt Wieters. Wieters might not play in his first game until June but still should be the favorite for the Rookie of the Year award. He is the top prospect in the game and has dominated at every level of his baseball career. He could be the best offensive catcher in the game before the year is out. Dark Horse: Travis Snider. The Blue Jays new left fielder could be a big addition to the middle of Toronto's lineup. He has 30 home run power and should hit for a solid average.

AL East Preview: Boston Red Sox

Prediction: Boston Red Sox: 1st place finish

Strengths: Boston may have the deepest pitching staff in all of baseball. Both their starting rotation and their bullpen are loaded with talented young arms. Starting pitchers Josh Beckett, Jon Lester and Daiskuke Matsuzaka form a dominate top of the rotation. Closer Jonathan Papelbon has three straight years of 35 or more saves. The talent in Boston's staff is almost equaled by the quality of their lineup. Reigning AL MVP Dustin Pedroia sets the tempo for Boston's lineup. Behind Pedroia sits the meat of the Red Sox order, designated hitter David Ortiz, first baseman Kevin Youkilis, left fielder Jason Bay and right fielder J.D. Drew. All four players are high OPS (on base+ slugging percentage) guys with 20-30 home run power.

Weaknesses: Despite having a great overall lineup the Red Sox are getting below league average production from their catcher and shortstop positions. Jason Varitek has been an integral part of the Red Sox organisation for over 10 years now, but should no longer be considered an everyday catcher. This is a position that Boston will likely look to upgrade during the season. Shortstop is another problem spot for Boston. Last year Julio Lugo and rookie Jed Lowrie split time at the position and combined for a subpar performance. Lowrie showed promise though and will need to continue to improve as the Red Sox look to reclaim the AL East. Injuries are another area of concern for the Red Sox. Ortiz, Drew, and third baseman Mike Lowell all missed significant time last season due to injury. Boston will need a healthier lineup as they battle through their tough AL East schedule.

Farm Aid: While no longer considered rookies young players such as Lowrie, and pitchers Clay Buchholz and Justin Masterson figure to play a big role for Boston in 2009. Lowrie will be the starting shortstop and will hopefully bring much needed production to the position. Masterson will be Papelbon's setup man and should give Boston the best 8th-9th inning combination in the AL. Buchholz has the talent to join Boston's rotation and will be the first arm called upon when an injury occurs. The biggest advantage of Boston's talented minor league system is their ability to make a trade to improve the team for a stretch run.

Outlook: Given the Red Sox depth and talent they should be looking at a division title and are the early favorite to win the World Series.