Thursday, April 23, 2009

NFL Draft: Team needs: AFC

Buffalo Bills: 11th and 28th picks in the first round

1. Left tackle: The Bills traded away Jason Peters and will need to replace their blind-side protector.
2. Defensive end: Buffalo needs a someone to help Schobel with getting to the QB.
3. Tight end: The Bills could use a third receiving option behind T.O. and Evans.
4. Outside linebacker: Crowell left a hole on the outside that still needs to be filled.
5. Defensive tackle: The Bills could use some depth to keep their tackles fresh.

Miami Dolphins: 25th pick in the 1st round

1. Wide receiver: The Dolphins lack a big receiver to go along with Ginn and Bess.
2. Cornerback: Will Allen is a top flight starter but the rest of the corners are average at best.
3. Outside linebacker: Miami could use another pass rusher to go along with Joey Porter.
4. Guard: Guard is the one weak spot on the line and should be addressed.
5. Defensive tackle: Ferguson is getting up there in age so a solid back-up is needed here.

New England Patriots: 23rd pick in the first round

1. Inside linebacker: Teddy Bruschi is in his 30's now and the Pats need a capable replacement.
2. Outside linebacker: New England needs to add a pass rusher to go along with Thomas.
3. Guard: Neal is on the wrong side of 30 and will be a FA next year.
4. Safety: Meriweather is locked into one starting spot but the other one is up for grabs.
5. Running back: Even after adding Taylor, running back is a position of need for the Pats.

New York Jets: 17th pick in the first round

1. Wide Receiver: With the loss of Coles the Jets need a big time play maker.
2. Defensive end: Shaun Ellis is still getting the job done at one spot but the Jets need to give him help on the line.
3. Quarterback: Clemens isn't the answer and Brett Ratliff has potential but is unproven.
4. Cornerback: Even after adding Sheppard the Jets could use more depth here.
5. Offensive line: The Jets have a good group of starters but don't have much behind them.

Baltimore Ravens: 26th pick in the first round

1. Offensive tackle: The Ravens one weakness on the line is RT and should be addressed early.
2. Wide Receiver: The Ravens need a wideout who Flacco can throw the long ball too.
3. Inside linebacker: The Ravens will need to replace Scott to keep their defense at the top of its game.
4. Defensive end: A play maker at end could help open things up for their talented linebackers.
5. Guard: The Ravens need some depth for the interior of their line.

Cincinnati Bengals: 6th pick in the first round

1. Left tackle: Levi Jones is on his last legs and Palmer needs a new body guard.
2. Center: When you play in a division against three 3-4 teams you need an elite center, the Bengals don't even have an average one.
3. Running back: Cincy needs an RB to take the pressure off the passing game.
4. Defensive end: When you only have 17 sacks last season and improvement needs to be made.
5. Middle linebacker: The Bengals could use some depth here with Jones' age starting to show.

Cleveland Browns: 5th pick in the first round

1. Outside linebacker: The Browns pass rush was non-existent last year and needs a boost.
2. Wide Receiver: Stallworth could be facing jail and Edwards may be traded a new receiver is a big need.
3. Running back: Jamal Lewis is on his last legs a speed back should be a nice compliment.
4. Cornerback: The Browns need to add a starter opposite Eric Wright.
5. Offensive line: The Browns have solid starters but could use depth across the line.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 32nd pick in the first round

1. Offensive tackle: Starks and Colon are returning but neither is a great starter.
2. Center: The Steelers need a dominate center to match up against the top DT's in the North.
3. Wide Receiver: Pittsburgh needs to replace Washington and I'm not sold on Sweed as the answer.
4. Defensive end: The Steelers could use some depth here with their starters getting up in age.
5. Cornerback: The loss of McFadden left this position a little thin.

Houston Texans: 15th pick in the first round

1. Outside linebacker: The Texans could use a play maker outside to go along with Ryans inside.
2. Defensive tackle: A power tackle that can occupy blockers is key for Houston.
3. Safety: An upgrade at SS could be a big help to the secondary.
4. Running back: Houston needs a power back to compliment Steve Slaton.
5. Guard: Their interior line is a bit thin with Pitts the only solid guard.

Indianapolis Colts: 27th pick in the first round

1. Defensive tackle: The Colts got almost no production from their tackles last year and need to address this early.
2. Wide Receiver: The Harrison era is over and the Colts will likely add another weapon for Manning.
3. Inside linebacker: Brackett is coming off a major injury and may not be the same player he once was.
4. Offensive tackle: Ugoh struggled last season so a back-up plan is needed.
5. Outside linebacker: The Colts need more play makers on defense especially at OLB.

Jacksonville Jaguars: 8th pick in the first round

1. Offensive tackle: even with the addition of Thomas the Jags need to get more talent at tackle.
2. Wide Receiver: Adding Holt was a great first step but Garrard needs another weapon on the outside.
3. Guard: The Jags lost three guards last season to major injuries, depth is a priority here.
4. Defensive tackle: A force in the middle to go along with John Henderson would be a major boost to the defense.
5. Cornerback: The Jags are pretty thin here quality depth is needed.

Tennessee Titans: 30 pick in the first round

1. Cornerback: The Titans need another cornerback to pair with Finnegan, especially since they play the Colts twice a year.
2. Wide Receiver: Adding Washington was nice but the receiving corps is still an area of concern.
3. Defensive tackle: They brought in Haye but he won't fill Haynesworth's shoes alone.
4. Outside linebacker: The starters are top notch but there isn't anything behind them.
5. Offensive line: The Titans need some much needed depth across the entire line.

Denver Broncos: 12th and 18th picks in the first round

1. Nose tackle: Denver is moving to a 3-4 alignment but lacks the personnel in the middle.
2. Inside linebacker: Another position the Broncos need to upgrade for the move to the 3-4.
3. Defensive end: The Broncos have below average starters at DE and need an influx of talent.
4. Quarterback: With Cutler out and Orton in the Broncos could look for a young QB to groom.
5. Outside linebacker: Jarvis Moss has been a disappointment and might not be able to make the transition to OLB.

Kansas City Chiefs: 3rd pick in the first round

1. Nose tackle: Moving Dorsey outside will hopefully jump start his career but an inside guy is needed.
2. Guard: The Chiefs need a big upgrade inside to help keep Cassel off his back.
3. Linebacker: The Chiefs need to add a lot of talent at linebacker with the move to the 3-4.
4. Center: Niswanger isn't a good starter in the middle and KC should look for a replacement.
5. Offensive tackle: The Chiefs could use an upgrade over McIntosh to pair with Albert.

Oakland Raiders: 7th pick in the first round

1. Wide receiver: The Raiders have three quality running backs and zero receivers, they will need to improve that ratio to start winning some games.
2. Outside linebacker: OLB was a revolving door for the Raiders last season, the need a true starter.
3. Safety: Michael Huff has been a bust and Wilson is now in Miami adding some talent is key here.
4. Offensive tackle: The Raiders need to keep Russell upright for their offense to improve.
5. Defensive end: Burgess is on the down side of his career and the Raiders need depth.

San Diego Chargers: 16th pick in the first round

1. Right tackle: Clary was a major disappointment last season and should be replaced.
2. Inside linebacker: The Chargers need another ILB to play next to Cooper.
3. Guard: Dielman is great but RG has been a major issue. Depth is also a concern here.
4. Safety: Weddle is solid at one spot but the other spot is up in the air.
5. Defensive end: The Chargers could use another stout lineman opposite Castillo

NFL Draft-Team needs: NFC

Dallas Cowboys: no first round pick

1. Safety: Either spot could use an upgrade, free safety may be a bigger concern.
2. Wide Receiver: Miles Austin is nice but he's not gonna put up T.O. numbers.
3. Offensive line: Flozell Adams is getting up there in age and they can use depth across the line.
4. Cornerback: Pacman and Anthony Henry are gone, they need some depth behind their starters.
5.Defensive line: They are set with their starters but need back-ups who can give solid minutes.

New York Giants: 29th pick in the first round

1. Wide receiver: Burress and Toomer are gone, the G-men need a quality receiver to fill the void.
2. Linebacker: Giants need another starting linebacker to go with Boley and Pierce.
3. Offensive line: The Giants have great starters but almost no depth. Age is a concern as well.
4. Safety: Losing Butler left this position without much depth.
5. Running back: Giants could use a mid-round RB to replace Ward and keep Jacobs fresh.

Philadelphia Eagles: 21st pick in the first round

1. Running back: The Eagles had a top 10 offense last year despite ranking 22nd in rushing.
2. Tight end: Brent Celek isn't the answer. Eagles could use a bit upgrade here.
3. Cornerback: Sheldon Brown isn't happy with his contract and wants to be traded. Adding a corner is becoming a priority.
4. Wide receiver: The team could use a big target to go along with Jackson and Curtis.
5. Defensive end: More of a want than a need but Philly could use a pass rusher on the edge.

Washington Redskins: 13th pick in the first round

1. Outside linebacker: The Skins need a starter here, preferably someone who can rush the passer as well.
2. Offensive tackle: Washington has a big hole at RT and could use a long term solution.
3. Defensive end: The Redskins only had 24 sacks last season, they need an every down end opposite Carter.
4. Cornerback: Rodgers is inconsistent and Smoot is showing signs of age, a young corner is needed.
5. Power running back: Portis is still a very good back but he needs some help on short yardage.

Chicago Bears: no first round pick

1. Wide receiver: Bears need a big receiver to compliment Hester.
2. Defensive end: Chicago needs to generate a better pass rush for them to be in the playoffs.
3. Cornerback: The Bears need a starter opposite Tillman.
4. Outside linebacker: Roach and Hillenmeyer are ok but not great options on the strongside.
5. Safety: The Bears could use a good developmental player here.

Detroit Lions: 1st pick and 20th pick in the first round

1. Left tackle: It didn't matter who was behind center last year he was gonna take a pounding.
2. Defensive tackle: Detroit didn't stop the run and couldn't rush the passer. They need a quick tackle to play next to Grady Jackson.
3. Quarterback: The Lions desperately need a new signal caller to improve the 30th ranked offense.
4. Middle linebacker: Paris Lenon isn't the answer, the Lions need someone to play in between Peterson and Sims.
5. Guard: The entire offensive line was a problem last year.

Green Bay Packers: 9th pick in the first round

1. Offensive tackle: Tauscher is gone and Clifton is getting up there in age.
2. Defensive end: With Kampman moving to OLB the Packers need some starting ends.
3. Outside linebacker: Packers need someone other than Kampman getting to the QB.
4. Running back: Packers need to add a quick back to the mix here.
5. Safety: The starters are pretty good but there isn't much depth here.

Minnesota Vikings: 22nd pick in the first round

1. Right tackle: The right tackle spot is the only hole on the O-line. The Vikes need a big upgrade here to help their offense.
2. Wide receiver: The Vikings need to add more weapons to their passing attack.
3. Quarterback: They added Sage Rosenfels but adding another young guy couldn't hurt.
4. Defensive tackle: The Vikes have the best tackles in the league but need some depth here.
5. Linebacker: Another area where Minnesota is extremely thin.

Atlanta Falcons: 24th pick in the first round

1. Cornerback: With Foxworth gone the Falcons need to add a starter.
2. Safety: Atlanta could use an upgrade at both spots and should address the position early.
3. Defensive tackle: The Falcons desperately need a run stuffing DT.
4. Outside Linebacker: Atlanta needs to add some talent to their OLB corps.
5. Center: Its the weakest part of the Falcons line though not an immediate need.

Carolina Panthers: no first round pick

1. Defensive tackle: Panthers need more production from the inside next season.
2. Cornerback: Lucas was cut and Marshall didn't have a great year. Panthers need a starter opposite Gamble.
3. Defensive end: Peppers may be gone after this year and there isn't much talent and depth behind him.
4. Wide receiver: Muhammed is getting up in age and Jarrett looks like a major bust.
5. Offensive line: The Panthers lost their top two back-ups in FA and are a little thin.

New Orleans Saints: 14th pick in the first round

1. Cornerback: Porter and Greer are good but the Saints could use a shut down corner.
2. Running back: Reggie Bush hasn't been the answer the Saints need an every down back to take pressure off Brees.
3. Outside linebacker: The Saints need more speed on the outside of Vilma.
4. Defensive tackle: Ellis needs someone in the middle with him to stop the run.
5. Safety: They added Sharper but they need a young guy to replace him when he's gone.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 19th pick in the first round

1. Defensive tackle: The team lost their best tackle (Haye) and it wasn't a strong position to begin with.
2. Wide Receiver: The team needs a starter opposite Bryant who can stretch the field.
3. Quarterback: Even with the signing of Leftwich they need a long term solution.
4. Defensive end: Adams is solid but there isn't much additional talent there.
5. Cornerback: Tampa needs depth behind Barber and Talib.

Arizona Cardinals: 31st pick in the first round

1. Running back: The Cards need a top notch running game to go with Warner and Fitzgerald.
2. Outside linebacker: Arizona needs to get better pressure on the QB from the outside.
3. Tight end: Adding a pass catching TE can only make the Cardinals more dangerous.
4. Interior Offensive lineman: Arizona has solid starters in the middle but could use an upgrade.
5. Defensive Tackle: Arizona needs someone who commands a double or triple team to allow their linebackers to make plays.

San Francisco 49ers: 10th pick in the first round

1. Outside linebacker: Manny Lawson has been a bust, the 49ers need a pass rusher on the outside.
2. Wide Receiver: Josh Morgan was a great find last year but the 49ers need a go to wideout.
3. Quarterback: Alex Smith isn't the answer neither is Shaun Hill, a QB of the future is needed.
4. Safety: The 49ers need to get younger here and they need a big upgrade at FS.
5. Offensive tackle: They signed Marvel Smith but he can't seem to stay healthy. Staley struggled last year as well.

Seattle Seahawks: 4th pick in the first round

1.Wide Receiver: Even with adding Houshmandzadeh the Seahawks need to add a top receiver early.
2. Outside linebacker: Trading away Peterson filled a need at DT but opened another one on the outside.
3. Cornerback: Wilson is a nice player but not the best option to start.
4. Quarterback: Hasselbeck is showing signs of age and had some injury problems last year.
5. Running back: Jones and Duckett don't inspire fear in many defenses.

St. Louis Rams: 2nd pick in the first round

1. Offensive tackle: The Pace era is over and the Rams desperately need a replacement.
2. Middle linebacker: The Rams need a strong MLB to compliment their solid outside guys.
3. Defensive tackle: Carriker should truly play end on early downs and move inside. The Rams need a run stuffing tackle to control the line of scrimmage.
4. Wide receiver: Torry Holt is gone and Donnie Avery is the only solid starter, a big upgrade is needed here.
5. Running back: There's not much behind Jackson on the depth chart, a change of pace back is needed here.

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

NFL Draft: Defense

Here are my quick thoughts on the defensive talent in the draft.

I think this is a pretty good draft in the early rounds if you need a defensive lineman. There could be as many as 15 taken in the first three rounds, including 5-8 in the first round. Defensive end is particularly deep this year. Brian Orakpo, Everette Brown and Tyson Jackson all should be immediate impact players. Brown is considered a 'tweener' by some but has an excellent burst when getting at the quarterback and should succeed at the next level. B.J. Raji headlines a solid defensive tackle class and will be a dominate force in the middle. Jarron Gilbert is one of my favorite players in this draft class. I think he will be a force wherever he ends up on the line.

The linebacker class is solid overall but not as talented and deep as the defensive lineman. Aaron Curry is the most complete player in the entire draft. There is nothing he can't do from the linebacker spot and he will be a top-5 pick on Saturday. Clint Sintim and Clay Matthews are two great pass rushers that always get to the quarterback. I think they are both rated higher than the more well known Brian Cushing. Cushing is a nice player but I don't think he will be a impact player like Sintim and Matthews. Inside linebackers aren't nearly as deep as their outside counterparts. Only James Laurinaitis and Rey Maualuga are top 50 talents. Maualuga is a guy that scares me, I think he has been a bit over hyped. I think he fits best as an inside linebacker in a 3-4 scheme but would struggle if he was a middle linebacker in a 4-3 system.

I think the defensive backs are particularly strong in this class, highlighted by a deep corner back group. Though its a deep position, there probably isn't a single shut down corner in this class. The best pure corner is Darius Butler, he has the speed and athleticism to cover anyone. Two of the other top corners, Sean Smith and Malcolm Jenkins may be better fits at safety. Whatever position they are at Smith and Jenkins should be very good NFL starters. There aren't too many top pure safeties in this class but there should be some solid contributors. Rashard Johnson is a safety to watch in this draft. He's likely a late second to early third round prospect but could end up being the best safety in this draft. He's a smart player who always seems to be in a position to make a play.

I think this is a pretty good defensive draft. There are a number of starters that will come out of this class, particularly at defensive end and corner back. There are a number of talented pass rushers on the line and at linebacker in this class. Also I think Aaron Curry may be the best linebacker to come out in the last five years.

NFL Draft Top 5 by position: Defense

Here are my top 5 players for each defensive position. I will also include a sleeper at each spot as well. Since the defensive position for a player can fluctuate depending on defensive schemes a team runs, I will list players in their most likely position. In every instance the player would be in roughly the same slot, give or take a spot or two, at their secondary position. As always, these rankings are based on my personal projections for these players, and not indicative of where I see them being picked.

Defensive End:

1. Brian Orakpo-Texas (OLB)
2. Everette Brown-Florida State (OLB)
3. Tyson Jackson-LSU
4. Robert Ayers-Tennessee
5. Larry English-Northern Illinois (OLB)

Sleeper: Lawrence Sidbury Jr.-Richmond (OLB)

Defensive Tackle:

1. B.J. Raji-Boston College
2. Jarron Gilbert-San Jose State (DE)
3. Peria Jerry-Ole Miss
4. Ron Brace-Boston College
5. Evander Hood-Missouri

Sleeper: Mitch King-Iowa (DE)

Outside Linebacker:

1. Aaron Curry-Wake Forrest
2. Clay Matthews-USC
3. Clint Sintim-Virginia
4. Brian Cushing-USC
5. Connor Barwin-Cincinnati (DE)

Sleeper: Cody Brown-Connecticut

Middle Linebacker:

1. James Laurinaitis-Ohio State
2. Rey Maualuga-USC
3. Darry Beckwith-LSU
4. Scott McKillop-Pittsburgh
5. Jasper Brinkley-South Carolina

Sleeper: Gerald McRath-Southern Miss

Corner back:

1. Darius Butler-Connecticut
2. Sean Smith-Utah (S)
3. Malcolm Jenkins-Ohio State (S)
4. Vontae Davis-Illinois
5. Alphonso Smith-Wake Forrest

Sleeper: Victor Harris-Virginia Tech

Safety:

1. Louis Delmas-Western Michigan
2. Patrick Chung-Oregon
3. Rashard Johnson-Alabama
4. William Moore-Missouri
5. Michael Hamlin-Clemson

Sleeper: Darcel McBath-Texas Tech

Monday, April 20, 2009

NFL Draft: Offense

I did my top 5's but I wanted to give some thoughts on the Offensive depth and talent in the upcoming NFL Draft.

First thing I wanted to comment on the quarterbacks in this class. Even though it looks like two QB's (Stafford and Sanchez) will be taken in the top 10 picks, and a third quarterback (Josh Freeman) will join them in the first round, I feel this is a very questionable quarterback group. I don't see a 'franchise' quarterback in the bunch. I think there are a lot of questions for all of these players and none of them are close to a sure thing. I think Stafford will be a solid starter in the league, but not a star worthy of a top 5 pick.

As for the rest of the skill positions it looks like it will be a very deep draft. It is an especially strong draft for receivers with, anywhere between 4-6 taken in the first round. Past the 1st round there are a number of additional wideouts that can be solid 3rd or 4th receivers in the NFL. While there aren't many complete tight ends in this draft I think there are seven quality guys who could become contributors in the NFL. I think Chase Coffman can be a weapon in the mold of Chris Cooley or Dallas Clark. He gets overlooked sometimes because he's not the fastest guy in the draft but he is sure-handed and always open. I think that while not as heralded as wideouts the running backs are pretty talented in this draft. Each one of the top four guys can be an every down back. My sleeper at this position Rashad Jennings is a very intriguing prospect. He's often overlooked because he played at Liberty, but I think he could be the best running back in this class. He's a power guy in the mold of Brandon Jacobs or Jerome Bettis. He also has some speed to go along with the power and should break his share of runs over 20 yards.

Another strength of this draft is the depth and talent of the offensive lineman that are available. Offensive tackles and centers are extremely deep. I think both Eugene Monroe and Jason Smith can be cornerstone left tackles. Beyond those two, there are a good 7-10 guys who can be solid to very good starting tackles. I think this could be the deepest center crop in years, Alex Mack, Max Unger and Eric Wood all have Pro Bowl potential. There's at least 3 or 4 additional starter prospects as well. Guard isn't nearly as deep of a position as tackle or center, but there are a few quality prospects. Duke Robinson has a ton of potential and should develop into a star.

Overall I like the offensive talent in this draft class. Though there aren't a ton of superstars or 'franchise' players there is a lot of starting potential in this class. I think there is a lot of depth and talent on the offensive side of the ball in this draft.

NFL draft Top 5 by position: Offense

Here are my top five players for each offensive position. I'll also throw in an additional sleeper pick for each spot as well. These rankings are based on what I believe their long term prospects are and not how I see them being drafted.

Quarterbacks:

1. Matt Staford-Georgia
2. Mark Sanchez-USC
3. Josh Freeman-Kansas State
4. Rhett Bomar-Sam Houston State
5. Graham Harrell-Texas Tech

Sleeper: Tom Brandstater-Fresno State

Running backs:

1. Chris Wells- Ohio State
2. LeSean McCoy-Pittsburgh
3. Knowshon Moreno-Georgia
4. Donald Brown-Connecticut
5. Shonn Greene- Iowa

Sleeper: Rashad Jennings-Liberty

Wide Receivers:

1. Micheal Crabtree-Texas Tech
2. Hakeem Nicks-UNC
3. Jeremy Maclin-Missouri
4. Kenny Britt-Rutgers
Tie: 5a. Percy Harvin-Florida
5b. Darrius Heyward-Bey-Maryland

Sleeper: Ramses Barden-Cal Poly

Tight Ends:

1. Brandon Pettigrew-Oklahoma State
2. Jared Cook-South Carolina
3. Chase Coffman-Missouri
4. Shawn Nelson-Southern Miss
5. Travis Beckum-Wisconsin

Sleeper: James Casey-Rice

Offensive Tackles:

1. Eugene Monroe-Virginia
2. Jason Smith-Baylor
3. Andre Smith-Alabama
4. Michael Oher-Ole Miss
5. Eben Britton-Arizona

Sleeper: Jason Watkins-Florida

Offensive Guards:

1. Duke Robinson-Oklahoma
2. Andy Levitre-Oregon State
3, Herman Johnson-L.S.U.
4. Kraig Urbik-Wisconsin
5. Cornelius Lewis-Tennessee State

Centers:

1. Alex Mack-California
2. Eric Wood-Louisville
3. Max Unger-Oregon
4. Antoine Caldwell-Alabama
5. Jonathan Luigs-Arkansas

Sleeper: Edwin Williams-Maryland

Athlete:

1. Pat White (Pat White doesn't have a set position but is talented enough that he will become an offensive weapon in the NFL)

Friday, April 17, 2009

AL East: New York Yankees

Prediction: New York Yankees: 3rd place finish

Strengths: The Yankees have a strong veteran lineup that will produce a ton of runs. When healthy Alex Rodriguez and newly signed first baseman Mark Tiexera will form probably the best 3-4 combination in baseball. Shortstop Derek Jeter and left fielder Johnny Damon offer a little speed and great on-base ability at the top of the order. With the free agent additions of CC Sabathia and A.J. Burnett to go along with holdovers Chien-Ming Wang, Joba Chamberlain and Andy Pettite the Yankees have one of the top rotations in the league. Mariano Rivera is the best closer in baseball and gives New York a huge luxury when the 9th inning comes along.

Weaknesses: Injuries and age are the two biggest problems facing the Yankees this season. Rodriguez will miss the first 4-6 weeks due to a hip injury. Two other big bats catcher Jorge Posada and designated hitter Hideki Matsui are coming off major injuries and will need to stay healthy for this lineup to be productive. Matsui, Posada, Pettite, Damon and Jeter are all going to be 35 years or older this season and will likely see their numbers decline to some degree. The Yankees defense is another problem area. Other than Tiexera the Yankees defensive alignment is made up of mostly average fielders.

Farm Aid: The Yankees farm system isn't as talented as their AL East counterparts but is still fairly solid. Pitching is the area that their farm system will bolster the most this season. Lefthander Phil Coke will be a long reliever in the Yankees bullpen this season and will likely be joined at some point by Alfredo Aceves and David Robertson. Starter Phil Hughes will be the first pitcher called upon if any of the Yankees top five go down with an injury. Given that the Yankees will be in the playoff hunt all season the Yankees may turn to their farm system to help them make a trade.

Outlook: The Yankees reloaded this off season but they are still in the toughest division in baseball. I think the Rodriguez injury will cost them some wins in April that could leave New York out of the playoff picture.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Voice of the Fan

This week the sports world lost two iconic ambassadors and voices of the game when Harry Kalas passed away and John Madden retired. Madden and Kalas were so well known and liked that they were sought after for endorsements due to their distinct voices and presence. Both men will be sorely missed by the sports community for their insight and ability to capture the game.

Kalas began broadcasting baseball games 46 years ago and was entering his 39th year with the Philadelphia Phillies. During that time Kalas connected to Philadelphia fans through both their losing seasons and their World Championship years. His impact on the game of baseball is evidenced by his induction into the Baseball Hall of Fame in 2002. His impact on the Phillie faithful is immeasurable. He is part of the Philadelphia Phillies and his name will always be remembered with the team.

Following John Madden's head coaching career in which he has the highest winning percentage in the NFL he became a football commentator. Madden has covered the NFL for network television the last 30 years. Madden is also the namesake of the most popular video game series of all time EA's Madden NFL series. John Madden has become probably the most popular and recognizable sports announcer in the country.

As a sports fan I'm saddened to see the loss of two giants in the sport community. Both Madden and Kalas touched the lives of their listeners. They brought the game in to the living rooms of countless fans and helped them connect to their favorite teams and sports. Both were excellent at translating the game to capture the fan's attention and help make them feel apart of the action. Madden and Kalas were the ultimate professionals and will be missed by the sports world.

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

AL East: Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays: 2nd place finish

Strengths: Tampa Bay is one of the most talented young teams top to bottom in baseball. Their lineup features the perfect combination of power and speed. Last year's Rookie of the Year Evan Longoria is one of the best players in baseball and headlines the middle of the Rays batting order. Longoria is joined in the middle by first baseman Carlos Pena and designated hitter Pat Burrell each capable of hitting 30 plus home runs a year. Center fielder B.J. Upton and left fielder Carl Crawford provide the speed at the top of the lineup. Tampa's starting rotation is another strength of this team, they have three young starters (Scott Kazmir, James Shields, and Matt Garza) that all have the ability to anchor a rotation. With as good as their lineup and pitching rotation are the Rays best attribute is their defense. At every position the Rays start a quality defender. They have great speed and range in the outfield and probably the best left side of the infield in the AL.

Weaknesses: Though the Rays are one of the better teams in baseball they are not without their flaws. While they have a quality bullpen from top to bottom, the Rays lack the shutdown closer that their division rivals possess. Another area of concern for the Rays is their 5th starter. Rookie sensation David Price was expected to take the job but he is starting the year in the minors, leaving the 5th spot for Jeff Niemann. Niemann a former first round draft pick has a ton of potential but hasn't yet shown he's a major league starter. He'll need to give the Rays some quality starts while Price is in the minors for the first month or two of the season.

Farm Aid: Price is the best pitching prospect in the the game and will likely be up with the Rays sometime in May. Price will join the big three at the top of the rotation to form possibly the best group of starters in baseball. Beyond Price Tampa has one of the deepest systems in baseball and has quality prospects at every level. Pitcher Wade Davis, shortstop Reid Brignac and outfielder Fernando Perez should all be up with the big league club at some point this season.

Outlook: The Rays won't be making any return trips to the AL East basement anytime soon. Tampa will be in the hunt for their 2nd division title all season. Though they may come up short in the division they should be the favorite to win the Wild Card.

Friday, April 10, 2009

National League Predictions

National League:

NL East:
1. New York Mets
2. Philadelphia Phillies
3. Florida Marlins
4. Atlanta Braves
5. Washington Nationals

NL Central:
1. Chicago Cubs
2. St. Louis Cardinals
3. Cincinnati Reds
4. Milwaukee Brewers
5. Pittsburgh Pirates
6. Houston Astros

NL West:
1. Los Angles Dodgers
2. Arizona Diamondbacks
3. San Francisco Giants
4. Colorado Rockies
5. San Diego Padres

MVP: David Wright. Wright is arguably the best third baseman in baseball. He is at the heart of the Mets order and should easily hit for 30+ home runs and bat over .300. Wright is one of baseball's top young stars and has only continued to get better. Dark Horse: Hanley Ramirez. Ramirez won't have the same profile as Wright given that the Marlins aren't expected to compete this year, but he is just as talented. Ramirez is a true 5-tool talent and has 40/40 potential.

Cy Young: Johan Santana. Santana already has two Cy Young awards and should look to add his third this season. Santana is one of the best pitchers in the game and with his talent combined with the Mets lineup and improved bullpen, Santana should be among the league leaders in wins. Dark Horse: Matt Cain. Cain doesn't get the hype of his teammate 2008 Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum but he can be just as good of a pitcher. Cain is actually younger than his teammate and at 24 could be primed for a breakout. The Giants made some improvements to their bullpen and lineup this season which should help Cain in the win column.

ROY: Colby Rasmus: Rasmus is probably the best center fielder prospect in the game. He combines power, speed and excellent defense. He will probably get time at all three spots in the Cardinals crowded outfield this season but will be playing most days. Rasmus is a star in the making and should be a big part of St. Louis's lineup this season. Dark Horse: Jordan Schafer. Schafer is another one of the top young center field prospects in the National League this year. He may not have the same tools as Rasmus but is still a quality prospect. He is a good hitter with 20/20 ability. Schafer will give the Braves some much needed production from the outfield and should be a strong candidate to win the Rookie of the Year award.

Wednesday, April 8, 2009

American League Predictions

With the baseball season already starting I wanted to post my predictions for each division as well as the MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the year. I'll keep posting the team by team previews throughout the week.

American League:

AL East:
1. Boston Red Sox
2. Tampa Bay Rays
3. New York Yankees
4. Toronto Blue Jays
5. Baltimore Orioles

AL Central:
1. Minnesota Twins
2. Cleveland Indians
3. Chicago White Sox
4. Kansas City Royals
5. Detroit Tigers

AL West:
1. Los Angeles Angels
2. Oakland Athletics
3. Texas Rangers
4. Seattle Mariners

MVP: Grady Sizemore. Sizemore is one of the best young players in this league. He does everything for the Indians and should make a strong MVP bid as he helps the Tribe battle for the Central division. Dark Horse: B.J. Upton. Upton had a great postseason last year and should look to build on that performance. This could be the year that he takes his game to the elite level the Rays knew he could when they drafted him second overall in 2002.

Cy Young: Roy Halladay. Halladay is such a talented pitcher but is often overlooked since he plays for the Blue Jays. His numbers are even more impressive because he has to deal with the talented Yankees and Red Sox lineups more than most pitchers. Dark Horse: Felix Hernandez. While it seems like he's been around forever Hernandez is just 23 years old and has his best years in front of him. He won't get much support on the Mariners but has the stuff to be among the best in the game.

ROY: Matt Wieters. Wieters might not play in his first game until June but still should be the favorite for the Rookie of the Year award. He is the top prospect in the game and has dominated at every level of his baseball career. He could be the best offensive catcher in the game before the year is out. Dark Horse: Travis Snider. The Blue Jays new left fielder could be a big addition to the middle of Toronto's lineup. He has 30 home run power and should hit for a solid average.

Saturday, April 4, 2009

Final Four

Final Four Predictions:

Here are my quick thoughts on today's Final Four match-ups.

I think Connecticut will outlast the home town Michigan State Spartans. Though I think the Spartans do have an advantage with the crowd likely in their favor I just don't think they match-up well with the Huskies. The Huskies point guard A.J. Price I think is primed for a big game. He often gets overlooked but I think he will be tough for Michigan State to guard. Center Hasheem Thabeet presents a big problem for the Spartans as well. Michigan State doesn't have the size inside to compete with him and will need to get him in foul trouble to have any hope of winning the battle in the paint.

As for the late game I think while Villanova has had a great tournament run, their bubble will burst at the hands of North Carolina. The Tar Heels are just too deep and strong for the Wildcats. Villanova will need more magic from point guard Scottie Reynolds to beat the Tar Heels. Unfortunately for the Wildcats, UNC has an answer for Reynolds in their own point guard Ty Lawson. To me Lawson has been the key to North Carolina's success all tournament. I think he is so talented and always raises his game to the level of his competition. I'd look for him to have a big game to overcome Villanova.

Hope everyone enjoys the tournament tonight, it should be a couple of quality basketball games.

AL East Preview: Boston Red Sox

Prediction: Boston Red Sox: 1st place finish

Strengths: Boston may have the deepest pitching staff in all of baseball. Both their starting rotation and their bullpen are loaded with talented young arms. Starting pitchers Josh Beckett, Jon Lester and Daiskuke Matsuzaka form a dominate top of the rotation. Closer Jonathan Papelbon has three straight years of 35 or more saves. The talent in Boston's staff is almost equaled by the quality of their lineup. Reigning AL MVP Dustin Pedroia sets the tempo for Boston's lineup. Behind Pedroia sits the meat of the Red Sox order, designated hitter David Ortiz, first baseman Kevin Youkilis, left fielder Jason Bay and right fielder J.D. Drew. All four players are high OPS (on base+ slugging percentage) guys with 20-30 home run power.

Weaknesses: Despite having a great overall lineup the Red Sox are getting below league average production from their catcher and shortstop positions. Jason Varitek has been an integral part of the Red Sox organisation for over 10 years now, but should no longer be considered an everyday catcher. This is a position that Boston will likely look to upgrade during the season. Shortstop is another problem spot for Boston. Last year Julio Lugo and rookie Jed Lowrie split time at the position and combined for a subpar performance. Lowrie showed promise though and will need to continue to improve as the Red Sox look to reclaim the AL East. Injuries are another area of concern for the Red Sox. Ortiz, Drew, and third baseman Mike Lowell all missed significant time last season due to injury. Boston will need a healthier lineup as they battle through their tough AL East schedule.

Farm Aid: While no longer considered rookies young players such as Lowrie, and pitchers Clay Buchholz and Justin Masterson figure to play a big role for Boston in 2009. Lowrie will be the starting shortstop and will hopefully bring much needed production to the position. Masterson will be Papelbon's setup man and should give Boston the best 8th-9th inning combination in the AL. Buchholz has the talent to join Boston's rotation and will be the first arm called upon when an injury occurs. The biggest advantage of Boston's talented minor league system is their ability to make a trade to improve the team for a stretch run.

Outlook: Given the Red Sox depth and talent they should be looking at a division title and are the early favorite to win the World Series.

Friday, April 3, 2009

Giants Release Burress

The New York Giants cut ties today with their star receiver Plaxico Burress. Burress was New York's prize free agent signing back in 2005 and caught the winning touchdown in Super Bowl XLII. Burress missed the last six games of the 2008 shooting due to being injured in a self-inflicted shooting accident. As a result of the incident Burress faces possible jail time on illegal gun charges and a likely suspension by the league. Given the uncertain status of their receiver it makes sense for the Giants to cut him. The Giants need to move past the negative media attention that has surrounded the case and focus on players they know will be available to them next season. The problem for the team is how do they replace Burress on the field.

Burress is a rare combination of size and speed, that creates match-up problems for opposing defenses. His absence during the end of the regular season and playoffs was noticeable. The Giants were 10-1 before Burress incident (Burress did miss one of the games due to injury) but just 2-4 without him, including a 23-11 home playoff loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. New York will need to find a way to replace Burress. With free agency over a month old the Giants won't find that replacement on the open market. Big name receivers like T.J. Houshmanzadeh, Terrell Owens and Laveranues Coles have already signed with other teams. The Giants also may struggle to find a replacement in the draft. The Giants pick 29th overall and many of the big tall receivers, such as Micheal Crabtree, Hakeem Nicks and Darrius Heyward-Bey, will likely be long gone by the time New York is on the clock. My guess is the Giants will fill their need for a big play maker through a trade. Three names to watch Braylon Edwards (Browns), Anquan Boldin (Cardinals), and Chad Johnson (Bengals) all would fit the Giants need and to some degree are available. Any one of those players will cost at the very least the Giants first round pick (or at least that value range) with Boldin requiring the biggest package. At the same time Boldin makes the most sense for New York. No one questions Boldin's on the field abilities unlike some do with Edwards. Also while questions remain about Boldin's attitude they are minor and wouldn't be near the distraction that Johnson can be. All three come with question marks and high price tags but will give Eli Manning the big target that he sorely needs. I wouldn't necessarily expect a move to be made right away but look for a trade to happen in the days leading up to the draft.

Thursday, April 2, 2009

Trade Center: NFL

The Deal: The Denver Broncos send quarterback Jay Cutler and a 5th round pick to the Chicago Bears for quarterback Kyle Orton, the 18th overall pick in April's draft, a third round pick and Chicago's first round pick in 2010.

Broncos: Even with Cutler trying to force his way out of Denver, the Broncos were able to get a kings ransom for their young Pro Bowl quarterback. Denver had no choice but to move Cutler and end the media circus that has followed the team since the potential 3-way trade involving Matt Cassel became public last month. In return the Broncos received a serviceable quarterback in Kyle Orton. Though he'll never be a star and doesn't have the arm or ceiling of Cutler, Orton should be a capable replacement. Orton never had the quality receivers that Cutler had in Denver and was always part of a run-oriented offense. In Orton the Broncos have a solid starter that could have a breakout similar to Cassel's under coach Josh McDaniels. In addition to Orton the Broncos received 3 quality draft picks and will now have plenty of ammunition to trade up in the draft to select one of the top quarterbacks if they desire. If not they will be able to add three top players over the next two years to help in the Broncos playoff pursuit. The two first round picks are great value for Cutler and will allow Denver to get impact players.

Bears: Chicago last season finished 21st in the league in passing and needed to upgrade their offense. Cutler should immediately help the Bears passing attack and gives their team a player they can build their offense around. Quarterback has been a bit of a revolving door for the Bears for years, they haven't had one quarterback lead the team in passing for three or more consecutive years since, Jim Harbaugh did it in the early 90's. While Cutler will end that trend the Bears paid a hefty price to do so. Two first round picks and a third are a high price to pay to upgrade from Orton to Cutler. The Bears might be a playoff contender in the weak NFC North but will likely miss those draft picks down the road. Chicago doesn't have the talented receiving corps that Cutler had in Denver so they might not see their passing attack improve that much.

Winner: I think the Broncos are a big winner here. Yes Cutler is a very good quarterback but I think he's far from the "franchise quarterback" that everyone makes him out to be. There are 8-10 quarterbacks in the league that I'd rather have leading my team than Jay Cutler. Yes he's been to a Pro Bowl, but he hasn't led his team to the playoffs yet, even in the woeful AFC West. The Bears gave up too much for Cutler, who needs to show he's more than just a big arm quarterback. I think the Broncos with the additional picks can add the talent to surround Orton for a playoff run this season.

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

NL East Preview: Washington Nationals

Prediction: Washington Nationals: 5th place finish

Strengths: The Nationals have the potential to have a pretty good line-up. First baseman Nick Johnson, and outfielders Adam Dunn and Josh Willingham are all middle of the order hitters that have power and on-base ability. These veteran players are supplemented by the Nationals talented young core, led by third baseman Ryan Zimmerman, and outfielders Lastings Milledge and Elijah Dukes. Zimmerman, already one of the best defensive third baseman in the league, has the ability to be an offensive force as well and should hit between 25-30 home runs with a high average. Washington also has a number of talented young arms with a lot of upside.

Weaknesses: The Nationals biggest weakness is their inability to stay healthy. Johnson should be their best offensive player but since he has missed a year and a half of the last two seasons isn't being counted on as a big run producer. Last season every starter but shortstop Christian Guzman spent time on the disabled list, and Guzman still missed 24 games throughout the season. Another area of concern is the fact that the Nationals have four starting caliber outfielders for only three positions. This could lead to unrest in the locker room and could necessitate a trade. Defense was a major problem for the Nationals last season as only Zimmerman and Johnson are considered good defensively. Though the Nats have a number of talented young arms in the rotation, none of them are proven as a sure thing. Washington's bullpen is a major red flag even after the free agent addition of Joe Biemel.

Farm Aid: Two of the Nationals young starters will be a pair of 22 year old rookies, right handers Shairon Martis and Jordan Zimmermann. Zimmermann is top young pitcher and could in all likelihood be the Nationals ace this season. Martis doesn't have as big an upside as Zimmermann but can still be a very solid starter. Unfortunately beyond those two starters the Nationals don't have much else in the way of help from the farm.

Outlook: Given the deficiencies on defense and in the bullpen, along with the injury concerns and an unproven rotation the Nationals will likely spend another year in the cellar of the NL East.

NL East Preview: Atlanta Braves

Prediction: Atlanta Braves: 4th place finish

Strengths: Atlanta rebuilt their rotation in the off season with free agent signings Derek Lowe and Kenshin Kawakami (Japan) and a trade for Javier Vasquez. These additions combined with rookie sensation Jair Jurrjens should give the Braves one of the better rotations in the National League. Third baseman Chipper Jones and catcher Brian McCann are a formidable pair in the middle of the Braves batting order.

Weaknesses: While the Braves have a solid starting line-up they lack the offensive firepower of the rest of the NL East. Outside of Jones and McCann, there aren't any true offensive weapons. The Braves outfield production is especially bad, their three projected starters combined for just 19 home runs last season. The Braves sorely need more lumber in their line-up.

Farm Aid: The Braves have a very good minor league system and have the pieces to acquire another bat or two during the season. Atlanta will also likely have two rookies make a significant impact this season. Starting pitcher Tommy Hanson is one of the best pitchers in the minors and should be in the Braves rotation by mid-season. Center fielder Jordan Schafer will also likely make the jump to the big leagues early in the season. His bat should provide a much needed boost to the Braves anemic outfield production.

Outlook: Even with an improved rotation the Braves will struggle to finish better than 4th in the East without improving their offense.

NL East Preview: Florida Marlins

Prediction: Florida Marlins: 3rd place finish

Strengths: The three returning starters of the Marlins infield, first baseman Jorge Cantu, shortstop Hanley Ramirez and second baseman Dan Uggla, combined for 94 home runs last season. They represent the core of a very talented line-up top to bottom. Ramirez is the face fo the franchise and is among baseball's elite hitters. While the Marlins lack a true "Ace" their rotation is loaded with talented young arms. Florida's farm system may be their biggest strength. Their minor league teams are stacked with top prospects at every position.

Weaknesses: While the Marlins offense is first rate their defense leaves much to be desired. Given their young rotation their defensive woes are even more pronounced and is a problem that Florida needs to address. The Marlins biggest weakness is their ownership's unwillingness to spend money to improve their team. Florida has had the lowest payroll in baseball over the last three season and has been a complete non-factor in free agency. If the Marlins would add just 2-3 solid players they would be a serious contender in the NL.

Farm Aid: The Marlins have a lot of help on the way from the minors, but their brightest star may be center fielder Cameron Maybin. Maybin, who is just 22 years old, should patrol center field for years to come for the Fish and be a big part of Florida's offense. Emilio Bonifacio, who was acquired in a trade with the Washington Nationals this offseason, won the starting job at third base in spring training. Though a second baseman by nature, Bonifacio should add another stolen base threat to the Marlins athletic line-up.

Outlook: The Marlins have a lot of talent but probably lack the experience to compete with the Mets and Phillies for the NL East title. Given their depth in the minors don't be surprised to see the Marlins trade off some of their young starters for additional prospects.

NL East Preview: Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies: 2nd place finish

Strengths: The Phillies line-up may be the best in the National League. They are led by a pair of former MVP winners, first baseman Ryan Howard and shortstop Jimmy Rollins. Second baseman Chase Utley is a perennial all-star and probably the best second baseman in the league. Though not as heralded as the three big stars, left fielder Raul Ibanez and center fielder Shane Victorino are top offensive producers as well. The top four starters in the Phillies rotation are all pretty good, with 25 year old Cole Hamels the ace of the group. The 8th and 9th innings are pretty set for the Phillies as well, with Ryan Madson and Brad Lidge being lights out in close situations.

Weaknesses: Philadelphia is set up the middle defensively with Rollins, Utley and Victorino but is pretty below average across the rest of the diamond. The Phillies also need consistent offensive production out of their third base and catcher positions in their line-up. The 5th starter spot is another weak area for the Phillies and will likely need to be upgraded during the season.

Farm Aid: The Phillies farm system is pretty talented top to bottom and should offer some reinforcements to the big league club throughout the season. Shortstop Jason Donald, could slide over and be the Phillies answer at third base or could headline a trade package. Catcher Lou Marson should be an offensive upgrade at the position and will likely take over as a starter at some point this season. The answer to the Phillies 5th starter might be in the minors as well, in right hander Carlos Carrasco. Though he will start the year in the minors Carrasco should be in the majors by mid-season.

Outlook: The World Series champs should be in a tough fight with the Mets for the Division title. Look for Philadelphia to come up just short but to return to the playoffs with a Wild Card berth.

NL East Preview: New York Mets

Prediction: New York Mets: 1st place finish

Strengths: Shortstop Jose Reyes, third baseman David Wright and center fielder Carlos Beltran are among the best young players in the league and represent the core of the Mets line-up. Starting pitcher Johan Santana, has the stuff to be the most dominate pitcher in the majors and anchors a solid front of the Mets rotation. The Mets bullpen was a weakness going into the off season but with the additions of a pair of closers, J.J Putz and Francisco Rodriguez, should now turn into a strength of the team.

Weaknesses: While New York has a playoff caliber team, they do have some holes on their roster. Second baseman Luis Castillo and catcher Brian Schneider are below average offensively. The back of the Mets rotation is unsettled as well. Oliver Perez has struggled in Spring Training and the 5th spot is up for grabs.

Farm Aid: The Mets don't have much in terms of immediate help in their minor league system. New York does have the depth in their lower minors to make a trade or two if they need a player for a playoff run. A pair of pitchers are the best bet to help out the Mets this season. Left-hander Jonathon Niese may become their 5th starter before the year is out. Righty Bobby Parnell is likely to make the roster as a middle reliever and could be a bridge to the 8th and 9th inning guys.

Outlook: The Mets are opening a new ballpark in 2009 and should christen it with an NL East division title.

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Sweet 16 Preview: (2) Duke vs. (3) Villanova

(2) Duke Blue Devils:

Their Tournament so far: The Blue Devils won their first game over (15) Binghamton by 24 points. Duke had a balanced attack in which six players managed to get into double figures. Their second round game against (7) Texas was a bit closer, with Duke winning 74-69. Texas battled Duke all game and was within one point in the games final minute but couldn't come away with the upset. Junior guard Gerald Henderson led the Blue Devils with 24 points.

Hot Hand: Henderson has 37 points in two games and has been the catalyst for Duke. Sophomore forward Kyle Singler has added 27 points and led the Blue Devils in rebounding each game.

How they match-up with Villanova: The Blue Devils match-up well against the Wildcats of Villanova. They both play very similar style of offenses based around perimeter shooting and one big man in the middle. Villanova is a bit more physical and athletic than Duke which could give the Blue Devils some problems. Duke on the other hand play solid defense and have good shot selection.

X-Factor: Getting Gerald Henderson involved early. Henderson is the one player on Duke's roster who is as quick and strong as Villanova's starters. His inside-outside scoring ability makes him the Blue Devils top threat. Henderson presents a big match-up problem for the Wildcats. If he can get going early should be enough to send the Blue Devils to the next round.

(3) Villanova Wildcats:

Their Tournament so far: The Wildcats struggled out of the gate in their first game, going into halftime with a 10 point deficit to (15) American. They came out in the second half with a vengence and outscored American by 23. Villanova had two 25 point performances that night by senior forwards Dante Cunningham and Dwayne Anderson. In their second game against (6) UCLA the Wildcats exploded for a 89-69 win. Villanova had six players in double figures and out rebounded the Bruins by 13.

Hot Hand: Cunningham has had 43 points so far in the tourney and is a big match-up problem for opposing teams. Anderson has been a good second option for the Wildcats with a combined 35 points. He has scored double figures in both of the games despite averaging only about 8.5 points per game during the season.

How they match-up against Duke: Villanova is actually the better shooting team, despite the fact that the Blue Devils were a higher scoring team this year. The Wildcats have a better inside presence than the Blue Devils and showed that this season with their tough Big East schedule. While not the most physical team, the Wildcats front court should have the advantage against the Blue Devils. Villanova is also a more athletic team which should help them on defense and to create room for open shots.

X-Factor: Working Dante Cunningham inside against Duke's Kyle Singler. Cunningham should have the advantage against Singler and the Wildcats need to exploit that. Let Cunningham go to the basket early and put Singler in a position where he has to foul. Duke doesn't have much depth with their big men and will be in big trouble if Singler sits a portion of the game with foul trouble.

Sweet 16 Preview: (2) Memphis vs. (3) Missouri

(2) Memphis Tigers:

Their Tournament so far: The Tigers survived a potential first round upset by 15th seed Cal State Northridge. Though they won the game 81-70, Memphis was down by three with nine minutes remaining. Sophomore guard Roburt Sallie came up big off the bench for the Tigers by hitting 10 3-pointers. In the second round game against (10) Maryland, Memphis showed why they were a number 2 seed by blowing out the Terps with a 89-70 win. The Tigers had 5 players in double figures and were too quick and athletic for the Terps to handle.

Hot Hand: Roburt Sallie scored just 150 points in the 33 games leading up to the NCAA tournament but has 48 in the Tigers first two rounds. Sallie has been a good 3-point shooter all year has caught fire in the tournament with a combined 13-19 from behind the arc. Freshman guard Tyreke Evans has added 34 points for Memphis and has been disruptive on defense.

How they match-up with Missouri: Memphis match-ups well with Missouri. They are very similar teams, both like to get out in front of their opponents and score in transition. Both teams are very adept at creating turnovers and forcing bad shots. Memphis doesn't have the 3-point shooting ability to match with Missouri but does have more overall talent in their back court. Memphis also has a depth advantage over Missouri, with a more balanced offense.

X-Factor: Win the battle of the big men. Missouri's two best players are forwards and if they get hot, Missouri will advance to the Elite Eight. Memphis needs their own forwards, senior Robert Dozier and junior Shawn Taggart, to match-up and shut down the Missouri threat. Dozier and Taggart will need to control the boards as well and give their team some second shot looks.

(3) Missouri Tigers:

Their Tournament so far: Missouri had a 19 point victory over (14) Cornell in the first round. The Tigers were led by senior forward Leo Lyons who had 23 points and 10 rebounds. In the second round the Tigers had a tough match-up against (6) Marquette. The Tigers pulled out a four point victory behind clutch free throw shooting down the stretch.

Hot Hand: Lyons has paced the Tigers with 41 points between the two games. He's been strong from the free throw line hitting 11 of his 13 attempts. Senior forward DeMarre Carroll has scored in double digits in both rounds and has been the team's leader all season. Freshman guard Kim English has come off the bench to score 30 points and has gone 6-10 from beyond the 3-point line.

How they match-up with Memphis: They can't match the star quality or depth of Memphis but they can play defense and force Memphis to play their game. While both teams rely on transition basketball, Missouri plays a tighter defense and is a better shooting team. They need to not give up so many second chance points and capitalize on Memphis turnovers.

X-Factor: Shutting down the Memphis back court. Missouri has the advantage on the inside but Memphis has a big advantage with their guards. While Missouri is a better shooting team, the Memphis guards are quicker and more athletic. For Missouri to win they have to slow down Evans, Sallie and senior guard Antonio Anderson. If Missouri can neutralize the threat on the outside their inside advantage should give them the victory.

Sweet 16 Preview: (1) Pittsburgh vs. (4) Xavier

(1) Pittsburgh Panthers:

Their Tournament so far: Pittsburgh has had their fair share of struggles so far in the tournament. Though they won their first game over 16th seed East Tennessee State by 10 points, they were up by only two with under five minutes to go. The Panthers played a sloppy game committing 18 turnovers. In the second round game Pittsburgh ran into the 3-point shooting (8) Oklahoma St. Cowboys. The Cowboys scored 49 points and shot over 60% from behind the arc in the first half. The Panthers battled back and turned the game into a 3-point shootout with both team combining for 18 trey's in the first half alone. Junior forward Sam Young led Pittsburgh with 32 points and played every minute of that game.

Hot Hand: The Panthers haven't had one player dominate so far but have had good performances from their stars. Sophomore center DaJuan Blair led the Panthers in the first round game with 27 points and 16 rebounds and followed it up with a double double in the second round game. Young had a solid first round game but exploded in the second round game against the Cowboys. Young was all over the floor and Oklahoma State just didn't have an answer for him.

How they match-up with Xavier: The Panthers can't match-up with Xavier's size or depth on paper, but they should be able to on the court. Blair and Young may not be the tallest front court players in the tournament but they play like they are. All year Blair has battled and won against taller big men in the Big East. On the perimeter Xaiver has a couple 3-point shooters and the Panthers will need big games by their guards to contain them. Both teams crash the boards but the Panthers should have a slight advantage here.

X-Factor: Control the game in the paint. The Panthers should go inside early and often to Blair and Young. Both players are so athletic and strong that they will be tough for Xavier to stop without fouling. While the Musketeers have a deep bench they lose a lot of leadership and experience when their starters are in foul trouble. Pittsburgh also has to have a rebounding advantage to eliminate second chance points.

(4) Xavier Musketeers:

Their Tournament so far: The Musketeers have two double digit wins in the first two rounds. They cruised past 13th seed Portland State 77-59 in the first round. Xavier had four players in double digits led by senior guard C.J. Anderson with 14. In the second round game (12) Wisconsin led at half but the Musketeers pulled away with a 35 point second half to a 60-49 victory.

Hot hand: Senior guard B.J. Raymond leads Xavier with 28 points between the two games. Raymond is the team's most consistent shooter and can score from anywhere on the court. Junior forward Derrick Brown also has a pair of double digit point efforts and is the team's best rebounder.

How they match-up with Pittsburgh: Xavier has the size to match-up with Pittsburgh and the athleticism but the question remains if they have the strength. The Musketeers big men will have to contain Blair and Young inside and fight for rebounds. One big advantage is their depth especially on the front court. If they can get some early fouls on Young or Blair they should be able to get a rebounding advantage. Both Anderson and Raymond can play a little forward and have the quickness to guard Young.

X-Factor: Dominate the boards. Xavier is a good rebounding team but will need to be a great one to beat Pittsburgh at their own game. The Panthers are one of the best rebounding teams in the nation, especially on offense. They give their team multiple second chance shots throughout the game. The Musketeers will need to eliminate the Panthers advantage underneath and get their own second chance opportunities if they hope to win.

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Sweet 16 Preview: (1) Conneiticut vs. (5) Purdue

(1) Connecticut Huskies:

Their Tournament so far: The Huskies dominated the first two rounds of the tournament winning by a combined 82 points. In their first game against the 16th seed Chattanooga Mocs, Connecticut had five players in double figures, including three with 20 or more points. The Huskies grabbed 24 more rebounds than the Mocs and committed 10 less turnovers. In the 2nd round game against the 9th seed Texas A&M Aggies the Huskies were just as dominate. Led by senior point guard A.J. Price, who had 27 points, Connecticut had four players manage double digit point totals against the Aggies. The Huskies shot 58% from the field and out rebounded A&M by 14.

Hot hand: Price and senior forward Jeff Adrien have been the stars for Connecticut so far. Price has 47 points and 11 assists through two games and is shooting 50% behind the 3-point line. Adrien has been in double figures in both games and has 24 total rebounds.

How they match-up with Purdue: The Huskies will need junior center Hasheem Thabeet to get hot after he disappeared in the A&M game. Thabeet along with Adrien and junior forward Stanley Robinson on the inside Connecticut should be able to contain Purdue's big men. Price along with fellow guards Craig Austrie and Kemba Walker give Connecticut a big advantage on the perimeter. Connecticut's quickness should give the Boilermakers back-court fits all game.

X-Factor: Connecticut's presence inside. Thabeet needs to step up and control the boards like he has all season. Purdue is a balanced team but they rely on the 3-pointer, for the Huskies to win the need to they need to eliminate second chances by their opponent. Going inside on offense to Thabeet and Adrien could get Purdue in foul trouble and force them to go to their bench.

(5) Purdue Boilermakers:

Their Tournament so far: The Boilermakers squeaked by in their first two rounds with a five point victory over the 12th seed Northern Iowa Panthers and a two point upset over the 4th seed Washington Huskies. Despite leading both games the whole way the Boilermakers had to rely on clutch free throw shooting at the end of the game to advance to the next round.

Hot Hand: Sophomore forward JaJuan Johnson is leading the Boilermakers with 36 points between two games. Eleven of his 36 points and three block shots came in the second half of the Washington game that sent the Boilermakers to the Sweet 16. Sophomore guard E'Twaun Moore has added 31 points for Purdue and has gone 13-15 from the free throw line.

How they match-up against Connecticut: Purdue is a balanced team that has both inside and outside scoring options. Also they have a solid eight man rotation that gives them solid minutes. Unfortunately they can't match Connecticut's experience and star player advantage. Purdue's top three scorers are all sophomore's and will all be matched up against juniors and seniors. While they have some size they don't rebound well and will have to improve if they hope to knock off the Huskies.

X-Factor: Robbie Hummel breaking out of his slump. Sophomore forward Robbie Hummel was 3rd on the team in scoring during the season, averaging over 12 points a game but has yet to get into double figures in the tournament. In the second game against Washington Hummel ended up as the team's 6th best scorer. He was the Purdue's best 3-point option during the season but has only hit one three over the last two games. For the Boilermakers to make it to the Elite Eight Hummel will have to get hot. He has the athleticism to give Connecticut forwards Adrien and Robinson problems chasing him out on the perimeter.

Monday, March 23, 2009

Weekend Wrap-up: NCAA Tournament

Well the Sweet 16 is all set and 2009 is not the year for the underdogs. Only one team (5th seed Purdue) beat a higher seed in the second round to advance to the Sweet 16. Also for the first time in the Tournament's history the top three seeds from each region made the 3rd round. Joining those 12 teams are two number 4 seed's, Gonzaga and Xavier, number 5 seed Purdue and number 12 seed Arizona.

Arizona went from being one of the bubble teams when this tournament started, one of the quarter of teams that still remain. The Wildcats lucked out a bit in their in their seeding. They faced an overrated Utah team in the first round, which could not match up with Arizona's shooting ability. Then lucked out when 13th seed Cleveland State upset 4th seed Wake Forrest in the first round, making the Wildcats the favorite to advance to the Sweet 16.

Purdue was the only 5th seed to survive the dreaded 5-12 upset by outlasting Northern Iowa 61-56. Purdue managed to hang-on in the second round and upset 4th seed Washington with a two point victory. Memphis and Pittsburgh survived close calls in the first round when they both came out of the locker room cold. Louisville, UNC and Pittsburgh all had tight 2nd round games but still showed that they were top quality teams. Michigan State and Duke each squeaked by their 2nd round games with 5 point victories. Of the number 1 and 2 seeds only Connecticut and Oklahoma put up back-to-back dominate games. Gonzaga had the play of the tournament to win their second game against Western Kentucky, by going to coast to coast for a lay-up with only 7 seconds on the clock.

While some people may be down on this tournament because it doesn't have the traditional underdog story that we've come to love during March Madness, it may turn out to be one of the better tournaments down the stretch. With so many top teams still in this tournament no one has an easy road to Detroit. There are no gimme match-ups here and we will likely see some 1's and 2's start to fall. These final 15 games to decide a national champion will prove who is the toughest, deepest and most talented team in the country.

Check back through-out the week as I preview each Sweet 16 match-up.

Friday, March 20, 2009

March Madness Midwest Region Part 2

No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans:

Why they will win it all: Michigan State is probably the deepest team in the tournament, they had 10 players who averaged at least nine minutes a game. Their offense is led by sophomore guard Kalin Lucas and junior forward Raymar Morgan. Each averaged over 10 points a game and compliment one another with Lucas offering the outside shot and Morgan being a force inside. Morgan is supported inside by senior center Goran Suton. Suton doesn't excel at any one aspect but is solid across the board. He's even become somewhat of an outside shooter adding another threat to the Michigan State offense.

Why they won't win it all: Michigan State lacks a star presence to take over a game or that could take that game winning shot. They have a lot of solid to good players but don't have that one great player. Despite having decent size they weren't a good rebounding team this season and will only struggle when facing more athletic competition from other conferences. They are an average shooting team hitting only 45.5% of their shots and less than 36% of their 3-pointers. They struggled from the free throw line making just 68% of their attempts.

Player to watch: Kalin Lucas. Lucas is the one player who can be the dynamic scorer the Spartans need. He's a solid 3-point threat and was the Spartans second best free throw shooter, hitting 80% of his shots from the line. Lucas is also a good passer and helps set up the offense for his inside men.

Prediction: Michigan State should be able to make it through the first two rounds with relative ease but aren't a safe bet to advance past the Sweet 16. A potential match-up with West Virginia doesn't favor the Spartans. Michigan State lacks the size and big play ability to compete with the Mountaineers.

Other teams to watch: The 6th seed West Virginia Mountaineers can be a dangerous team in this bracket. They have three offensive stars in senior guard Alex Ruoff, junior forward De'Sean Butler and freshman forward Devin Ebanks. Ebanks had a strong Big East Tournament and has been getting better all year. The Mountaineers are quick and athletic and have a very heady leader in Ruoff. Ruoff is a smart veteran player who can be deadly from the 3-point line. The 4 seed Wake Forest Demon Deacons are another team that bears watching in this tournament. They match up well with the Louisville Cardinals and could be the team that knocks them off. The Deacons are led by a pair of sophomores, guard Jeff Teague and forward James Johnson. Teague is one of the best shooters in the nation and plays great defense.

March Madness Midwest Region Part 1

No. 1 seed Louisville Cardinals

Why they will win it all: The Cardinals enter the tournament as the number 1 overall seed after winning the Big East Tournament and regular season title. They are led by their three forwards senior Terrence Williams, junior Earl Clark and freshman Samardo Samuels. Clark and Williams are among the best players in the Big East. Both are very athletic two-way players that can take over a game. Clark is especially frustrating for opposing teams to guard given his size and strength. Though built like a forward Clark is as quick as a guard and blows by opposing forwards on the way to the basket. They have a very talented eight man rotation that give them quality minutes. All eight of their players are a threat to score. Louisville is one of the more balanced teams in the league with depth at both guard and forward.

Why they won't win it all: Louisville played well against their Big East competition beating Villanova, Syracuse and West Virginia twice and Marquette and Pittsburgh once apiece. They struggled though against teams they should have beaten losing to Notre Dame, UNLV, Western Kentucky and Minnesota. The Cardinals are also not a great shooting team hitting just 45.1% from the field. Louisville is one of the worse free throw shooting teams in this tournament, hitting just 64% from the line. While Louisville is a good defensive team they don't always rebound well despite having the size and athletic ability.

Player to watch: Terrence Williams. Williams is a great all around player, he can score from the perimeter or inside, an excellent rebounder and defender, and he leads the team in assists. He is an unselfish player who consistently finds the open shooter. He is so athletic and strong that he can guard players of any size with ease.

Prediction: Louisville should make it out of the Midwest region and in to the Final Four with some ease. They will likely face a strong challenge from Wake Forrest in the Sweet Sixteen but have the athleticism to match-up with them. Look for Kansas and Michigan State to get knocked out early leaving, leaving the Cardinals to face a West Virginia team they've already beaten twice.

1st round upset: 14th seed North Dakota State over 3rd Kansas:
This isn't the same Jayhawks team that won the National Championship a year ago. They are young and untested and they don't play great defense. If Kansas can't defend the perimeter they will have a long day as the Bison are one of the top 5 3-point shooting teams in the nation, hitting over 41% of their shots. North Dakota State is a very veteran team and seniors Ben Woodside and Brett Winkelman both are excellent shooters and can score at will.

Thursday, March 19, 2009

March Madness: East Region Part 2

No. 2 seed Duke Blue Devils:

Why they will win it all: The Blue Devils won the ACC tournament and were a top team all year. They have three players that can score any time they touch the ball, in sophomore forward Kyle Singler, junior guard Gerald Henderson and junior guard Jon Scheyer. All three players are shooting at least 36% from behind the arc. All three players averaged at least 15 points per game as well. While not a great defensive team they play very fundamental basketball and force a number of turnovers. Henderson is an athletic guard who can shoot the jump shot or go to the basket with equal skill. He has created problems all season for teams trying to guard him one-on-one.

Why they won't win it all: Duke is not a physical team they lack a true inside presence and are frequently out rebounded. They rely on the open 3 point shots and struggle when they are forced to score inside. The Blue Devils lack a true point guard to set up their shooters on perimeter and will struggle against teams with top guards. They lack the overall athleticism and physicality to play with a number of teams in the nation. While they have three good shooters they were a very poor shooting team overall averaging under 45% from the field. They are also not a very deep team and will struggle if any of their players get into foul trouble.

Player to watch: Gerald Henderson. Henderson is the one player on Duke's roster who presents a match-up problem for any team the Blue Devils play. He averaged 16.6 points per game this season and led the Blue Devils by shooting 47% from the field. He is a good defender and his quickness and streghth allow him to man up on just about anyone.

Prediction: The Blue Devils are vastly outgunned in this region and I believe will be upset in the second round by Texas. The Longhorns played below their talent level all year, but have the size and quickness that Duke can't compete with. If the Blue Devils manage to get by Texas they will have to face major obsectals in Villanova and Pittsburgh if they hope to make it to the Final Four.

Other teams to watch: The 3rd seed Villanova Wildcats are one of the best teams nobody is talking about. They got beat up some in Big East play this year but are a dangerous team. They won their only meeting against Pittsburgh and lost their regular season games to Louisville and Conneticut by a combined 7 points. Junior guard Scottie Reynolds and senior forward Dante Cunningham each averaged over 15 points per game this year. The 7th seed Texas Longhorns can be another dangerous team. They are led senior guard A.J. Abrams and junior forward Damion James. Each player has the ablity to take over a game and will present major match-up problems for any team they face. They have the talent they just need to harness it.

March Madness: East Region Part 1

No. 1 seed Pittsburgh Panthers:

Why they will win it all: The Panthers are a veteran team with three senior starters and one of the best big men in the country in sophomore center Dejuan Blair. Pittsburgh has three primary offensive weapons in Blair, senior guard Levance Fields and senior forward Sam Young. Fields is the floor general and one of the better passers in college basketball. He averages almost eight assists per game to go along with his 10.7 points per game. Blair averages a double double with 15.7 points per game and 12.2 rebounds. He was named Co-Big East Player of the year with Connecticut's Hasheem Thabeet. The Panthers are among the top teams in shooting percentage in the nation and can score both inside and outside. Pittsburgh is a very athletic team and plays a solid defensive game that relies on them forcing bad shots.

Why they won't win it all: The Panthers are not without their flaws though and they struggle in a couple of areas. Though Pittsburgh has a number of players who can hit the 3-ball they lack a consistent presence on the perimeter. As evidenced by their quarter-final loss to West Virginia in the Big East tournament, when they went 0 for 8 behind the arc. Another area of concern for the Panthers is their inability to shoot free throws. The Panthers shot just 67% from the charity stripe this season well below average. The last major area of concern for Pittsburgh is foul trouble. If either Blair or Young get in foul trouble the Panthers lack the front court depth to make up for their absence.

Player to watch: Sam Young. Most people would put Blair here but Sam Young is the best player on this team. Young can score from anywhere on the court and plays great defense. He led the Panthers in scoring each of the past two years. He is a very cerebral player who often out plays bigger and stronger opponents due to his advanced understanding of the game. Young has the skill and athleticism to present match-up problems against just about any player in the nation.

Prediction: Pittsburgh should be the East region's representative in the Final Four. While its a strong bracket top to bottom the Panthers match up well against every team. The biggest scare may come from Villinova who beat the Panthers in their only match-up during the season.

1st round upset: 9th seed Tennessee over 8th seed Oklahoma St.:
While not that big of an upset prediction the Volunteers should be able to get by the Cowboys with strong play from their junior forwards Tyler Smith and Wayne Chism.

March Madness: West Region Part 2

No. 2 seed Memphis Tigers:

Why they will win it all: The Tigers are a much different team from the one that lost in the finals to Kansas a year ago. But that's not necessarily a bad thing. They are a more balanced team with four players averaging at least 10 points a game. Memphis also has a deep bench with a total of 9 players that average at least 12 minutes per game. The Tigers are led by freshman point guard Tyreke Evans and senior forward Robert Dozier. Evans led the team in scoring averaging over 16 points a game and is a quality defender. Dozier is their best inside scorer averaging 12.2 points per game. Memphis is a very athletic team that likes to force turnovers and get the fast break.

Why they won't win it all: Memphis is a hard to team to project because of the weakness of their conference. They ran away with the Conferance USA regular season and postseason title but didn't face any tough competition. Tennessee and Gonzaga were the only tournament teams they faced that they beat. Memphis can also be very inconsistent. Dozier is one of their best players but he disappears in far too many games. The Tigers lack a true perimeter threat and their overall shooting percentage is under 45%.

Player to watch: Tyreke Evans. Evans has quietly filled Derrick Rose's shoes as the teams star point guard. Evans isn't as complete a player as Rose but is still a dangerous scoring threat. He does a little bit of everything for the Tigers. In addition to leading the team in scoring, Evans led the team in steals, was second in assists and third in rebounds and blocked shots. Unfortunately Evans led the team in another category by a wide margin; turnovers. Evans is not a good passer and will try to do too much at times. If he stays focused Evans can be an elite scorer and a shutdown defender.

Prediction: I think Memphis will come out of the West region for a Final Four berth. Their depth and defense should help them overcome challenges from Missouri and Connecticut.

Other teams to watch: The 3rd seed Missouri Tigers could be a strong team in this bracket. They won the Big 12 tournament and could make a run in this tournament as well. Led by senior forwards DeMarre Carroll and Leo Lyons the Tigers can run with just about anyone. They are an athletic team that plays good defense and matches up well against Memphis and Connecticut. The 4th seed Washington Huskies are a deep team that has four scorers averaging at least 10 points. The Huskies are led by senior forward Jon Brockman who averaged over 14 points and 11 rebounds a game.

March Madness: West Region Part 1

No. 1 seed Connecticut Huskies:

Why they will win it all: The Huskies have a strong starting five led by senior guard A.J. Price and junior center Hasheem Thabeet. Price, Thabeet and senior forward Jeff Adrien all averaged at least 13 points a game. Also Thabeet and Adrien each averaged 10 rebounds a game. The big three are supplemented by freshman guard Kemba Walker and junior forward Stanley Robinson. Senior guard Craig Austrie gets significant time off the bench and can start against smaller opponents. Connecticut is a well rounded team that plays offense and defense with equal tenacity. Thabeet was among the nation's leaders in blocked shots averaging 4.6 per game. Two of their four losses came against fellow number 1 seed Pitt and another came in a dramatic six overtime loss to Syracuse in the Big East quarterfinals.

Why they won't win it all: Connecticut lost starting guard Jerome Dyson in mid-Feburary to an injury and haven't been the same team since. The Huskies are just 4-3 in Dyson's absence and are in the midst of a two game losing streak. Though they have a talented starting five, Connecticut lacks a quality bench. There is not much talent there behind Austrie and no real front court help. Thabeet can be one of the best big men in the country but he has some serious flaws in his game. He doesn't run the floor well and can be beat to the basket by quick athletic teams. Also, while Thabeet is an inside force above the rim, if backed away from the basket and forced into a jump shot Thabeet becomes a very ordinary big man.

Player to watch: A.J. Price. Thabeet may grab all the headlines but Price is the player that Connecticut needs the most out of. Without Dyson in the line-up Price stepped up to lead the team in scoring. Price is the team's best 3-point shooter and is a threat to score anytime he has the ball in his hands. He is a quick guard that can shut down an opposing team's best player. While not a great passer he still manages to set the offense up for the big men in the middle.

Prediction: Connecticut shouldn't have too much trouble advancing to the Elite Eight but will likely find their tournament over if they meet up with Memphis. Missouri is another team that that could give Connecticut trouble if they meet up with them in round of eight.

1st round upset: 10th seed Maryland over 7th seed California:
The Terps sneaked into the tournament with a late season win over UNC and a ACC semi-finals win over Wake Forest. Junior guard Greivis Vasquez is the key, if he's on he can take over a game. If the Golden Bears can't slow him down they will be looking at a first round exit.

March Madness: South Region Part 2

No. 2 seed Oklahoma Sooners:

Why they will win it all: The Sooners have the best player in the nation in sophomore power forward Blake Griffin. Griffin averaged 21.9 points per game and led the nation by averaging over 14 rebounds a game. Freshman guard Willie Warren is a fine compliment to Griffin, averaging 14.7 points per game, and is the team's best perimeter shooter.

Why they won't win it all: For as good as Warren can be Oklahoma lives and dies on the talent of Blake Griffin. They lack a true second option in the front court that allows teams to routinely double and triple team Griffin. As we've seen in recent years (Kansas 2008, Florida 2006-7, and UNC 2005) well rounded teams are the teams that win national championships. Also similar teams who are based around one star player such as Texas in 2007 (Kevin Durant) and Kansas State in 2008 (Michael Beasley) both lost in the 2nd round of the tournament.

Player to watch: Blake Griffin. Griffin can dominate the game as much as any other player in this tournament. If he can get in a rhythm early he will be tough to stop. There is no real weakness in his game. The one area of concern is sometimes Griffin gets turnover happy. He can sometimes press too much and make bad decisions when the Sooners are struggling. Overall though Griffin is a great player who can't be guarded one on one.

Prediction: I think Oklahoma will come out of the South and make it to the Final Four. They have a tough potential Sweet 16 match-up with Syracuse but they should be able to pull it out. I don't think UNC will have an answer for Griffin in the Elite Eight game.

Other teams to watch: The 3rd seed Syracuse Orange showed in the Big East Tournament that they can play with anyone. The Orange have a talented offense led by sophomore point guard Jonny Flynn and junior forward Paul Harris. Syracuse is a deadly 3-point shooting team and are a dangerous team in the South. The 4th seed Gonzaga Bulldogs are another team that could make a run in the South. They dominated their conference tournament winning both games by at least 25 points. They are a strong shooting team led by senior forward Josh Heytvelt.

March Madness: South Region Part 1

As games begin today we are going to take a look at each region. We will take a look at the top 2 seeds in each region and show why they can win it all. We will also look at other teams to watch and what first round upsets to expect. First up is the South region:

No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels:

Why they will win it all: The Tar Heels are a talented veteran team. All five of their starters are juniors or seniors with previous tournament experience. UNC was also the 2nd best scoring team in the nation, with all five of their starters averaging double figures. Senior power forward Tyler Hansbrough and junior point guard Ty Lawson are among the best players at their position in the nation.

Why they won't win it all: Though the Tar Heels are one of the best offensive teams in the tournament they struggle defensively. They lack size and strength in the middle and are vulnerable to premier post players. Another big factor that could diminish their tournament hopes is the health of their point guard. Lawson, nursing a toe injury, sat out the ACC tournament and the team wasn't the same without him. They barely made it past Virginia Tech before losing to Florida State in the semi-finals. If Lawson misses time in the tournament or isn't 100 percent it will be an uphill climb for the Tar Heels to cut down the nets in Detroit.

Player to watch: Ty Lawson. When healthy Lawson is one of the top point guards in college. He is an all-around guard who averaged 15.9 points per game to go along with 6.5 assists. He is the Tar Heels best 3-point shooter and hit over 80% of his free throws. Lawson helps to open up Hansbourgh as well as fellow wing-men senior Danny Green and Junior Wayne Ellington. Carolina sorely missed their field general during the ACC tournament and will need Lawson to come back healthy for them to make a run at the national title.

Prediction: UNC is a talented team but they have a tough road ahead of them that will make it difficult to make it past the Elite Eight. Potential 2nd and 3rd round match-ups against LSU and Gonzaga could give Carolina a scare. If they do make it to the Elite Eight, I don't know if the Tar Heels possess the size inside to match up against Oklahoma or Syracuse.

1st Round upset: 12th seed Western Kentucky over 5th seed Illinois: The Hilltoppers look to play Cinderella for the 2nd year in a row after advancing to the Sweet 16 last season. They are a small team, but are excellent shooters. If they are on Western Kentucky is deadly beyond the arc.

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Peppers trade?

I wanted to take a moment to comment on the recent NFL.com rumor that Franchise player Julius Peppers was on the verge of being traded to the New England Patriots for a 2nd round pick. This would be a huge steal for the Patriots but I can't begin to imagine this rumor has much truth behind it. If the Panthers would accept only an early 2nd round pick they'd be grossly underselling on Peppers who is one of the best pass rushers in the league. The Patriots would at least have to include their first round pick, 23rd overall, in addition to the early 2nd round pick, 34th overall, that is rumored.

Another reason that this deal doesn't make sense is money. New England has a lot of money tied up in their top players already and have to resign nose tackle Vince Wilfork who is eligible for free agency next off season. The Patriots did get a big boost in money when they traded Matt Cassel and Mike Vrabel to the Kansas City Chiefs for the 34th pick in the draft, but have already used some of that to resign their own players and bring in some free agents like Leigh Bodden and Shawn Springs. While they still have some money to play with they have to save some money to sign their draft picks and to potentially extend Wilfork. Peppers would need to come at an extremely cap friendly deal for him to work for the Patriots.

While I believe that some trade talks probably have occurred, I can't see the Panthers or Peppers accepting less than what they deserve.

Monday, March 16, 2009

Trade Center: NFL

The Deal: The Detroit Lions send defensive tackle Cory Redding and a 5th round pick in April's draft to the Seattle Seahawks for LB Julian Peterson

Lions: Two years ago Cory Redding was Detroit's franchise player now he will be playing his football in Seattle. Redding has the ability to be a dominating force in the middle but has been inconsistent the past two years. Though the Lions defensive tackle play was one of their weak points last season, Redding was deemed expendable with the signing of DT Grady Jackson earlier this month. By moving Redding the Lions were able to fix another area of concern, outside linebacker. Julian Peterson, who will be 31 next season, should be able to help the Lions with both his experience and his overall talent. Peterson will pair up with Ernie Sims to give the Lions one of the best outside linebacker combos in the league. Peterson can be an effective blitzer off the end and will be a big boost to the Lions pass rush.

Seahawks: As good as Peterson is he was a bit redundant on the Seahawks. They already have two star linebackers in Lofa Tatupu and Leroy Hill and a quality back-up in D.D. Lewis. Also on passing downs the Seattle can use Darryl Tapp to attack the quarterback. One area of concern for Seattle's defense was defensive tackle, their top tackle was allowed to leave in free agency leaving a big hole in the middle. Redding, along with free agent tackle Collin Cole should be able to fill that hole. The two newcomers will pair with hold over Brandon Mebane to form a solid tackle rotation with a lot of potential. Redding has the athleticism to play some defensive end as well and will likely play some on the outside on rushing downs. Redding could have a big year this year playing alongside Mebane and All-pro defensive end Patrick Kerney. The Seahawks also will receive a 5th round pick, where they can hopefully find a solid role player.

Winner: This one could go either way but I'll say the Lions are the winner even though they are giving up the younger player plus the draft pick. The Lions were the 32nd ranked defense with Cory Redding, so they can't really be any worse without him. Peterson's leadership and consistency should benefit everyone on the Lions defense.